Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.677064 3.911883 4.164153 4.457163 4.790525 5.160959 5.607976
2025-03-30 3.346353 3.664456 4.025762 4.472892 5.020880 5.684297 6.571545
2025-04-06 3.059672 3.422323 3.851810 4.410597 5.139363 6.092001 7.500577
2025-04-13 2.798781 3.179190 3.643882 4.272221 5.133837 6.336557 8.288460
2025-04-20 2.678780 3.093543 3.617561 4.357540 5.433973 7.065156 10.072480
2025-04-27 2.582168 3.026103 3.604327 4.454735 5.765709 7.931517 12.571293
2025-05-04 2.512191 2.985176 3.619482 4.590717 6.181022 9.074680 16.591046
2025-05-11 2.427866 2.916800 3.588034 4.650654 6.483848 10.133782 21.846544
2025-05-18 2.327341 2.818091 3.503343 4.615311 6.612275 10.893472 27.766634
2025-05-25 2.208340 2.685895 3.359185 4.467473 6.505813 11.081397 31.984344
2025-06-01 2.125374 2.599481 3.276131 4.410577 6.563295 11.709948 41.499653
2025-06-08 2.050387 2.520081 3.197694 4.352552 6.607649 12.335875 56.288647
2025-06-15 1.995225 2.471230 3.169760 4.392162 6.895360 13.975613 130.696296
2025-06-22 1.932644 2.408438 3.116289 4.382119 7.080882 15.508681 1248.215647
2025-06-29 1.860949 2.328681 3.031021 4.305833 7.102255 16.514837 NaN
2025-07-06 1.781214 2.233454 2.915668 4.163210 6.939795 16.666857 NaN
2025-07-13 1.750917 2.210726 2.915350 4.237557 7.335975 19.991153 NaN
2025-07-20 1.724927 2.192920 2.921449 4.325025 7.799781 24.921380 NaN
2025-07-27 1.706885 2.186088 2.944923 4.450347 8.423440 33.876216 NaN
2025-08-03 1.677891 2.160609 2.934702 4.504645 8.862229 44.930805 NaN
2025-08-10 1.636829 2.114268 2.885467 4.469812 9.003032 54.188951 NaN
2025-08-17 1.582136 2.044385 2.791703 4.329391 8.745624 53.881948 NaN
2025-08-24 1.543641 1.998954 2.738807 4.275065 8.785393 62.825681 NaN